
Thank you Mr.
Chairman, Mr. Minister, ladies and gentlemen. I am very pleased to have the opportunity to
address such an impressive gathering of German business leaders - all the more so because
the subject of your conference, "Sustainable Development", represents one of the
most powerful ideas of our time. The end of the Cold War in 1989 swept away more than the
Berlin Wall. It erased many of the barriers of ideology, politics, and economics which had
divided our world for almost fifty years. One of the most unique features of this new
global age is the opportunity we now have to tackle shared challenges with a new sense of
shared outlook, shared values, and shared purpose. The idea of sustainable development
exemplified this emerging picture - and it is about this larger picture that I want to
talk to you today. This has been a year
of great achievements for the world trading system. Over the past twelve months, we have
launched an important initiative to integrate the Least-Developed Countries into the
mainstream of the world trading system. We have reached agreements to liberalize trade in
information technology products and telecommunications services - the combined value of
which equals world trade in autos, textiles and agriculture combined. And in three days
time we have an opportunity to reach an equally sweeping agreement to liberalize global
financial services.
These will be
three difficult days in Geneva. But what is certain is that this long negotiation has
produced a very impressive harvest. In this third and final stage of the negotiations, we
have received 46 offers of improved market access. Since one of those comes from the
European Union, this represents over sixty offers from individual countries. And at least
five others should arrive today. In all, over one hundred countries - representing all the
industrialized economies, and more than seventy developing and transition economies - will
have made commitments to open markets in this critically important sector. No one can
predict at this stage what all the elements of the imminent conclusion will be. But it is
hard to imagine - in this final phase - that all of our achievements will be allowed to
slip away.
Beyond our
advances this year, we have a full agenda ahead of us - encompassing further negotiations
in agriculture, services and intellectual property, the possibility of launching
negotiations in the area of electronic commerce - an area which opens up new and
exciting opportunities for small and medium-sized enterprises to reach markets that were
previously unattainable - as well as the accession of China, Russia, and the 29 other
applicant countries to the system. Although difficult challenges remain, what the fathers
of multilateralism only dreamed of half a century ago is moving closer to reality today -
the creation of a global trading system built, not on the rule of power, but on the rule
of law.
But the real
significance of the WTO's successes goes beyond the expansion of world trade - critically
important though this is. Our ability to move towards the construction of a truly global
system for an increasing globalized economy stands as a powerful and encouraging symbol
for those seeking solutions to the many other issues which now spill across borders,
jurisdictions, and cultures. Whether we are talking about the environment, development,
labour, human rights or other ethical values - in all these areas there are positive signs
that the policy debate is moving beyond the sterile divisions and polarities of the past.
The search, instead, is for a more coherent global approach which balances the needs of
the planet with the needs of the billions of people who deserve a better standard of
living.
Our societies
are in the midst of a profound transition - where economic value will be determined more
and more by information and knowledge, and where new borderless technologies, especially
in the field of telecommunications, will allow broader and more equal access to this new
economy. The debate should not be about whether globalization must be slowed down or
accelerated - its onward march is a fact of life fuelled by the advances of technology,
the rise of the developing world, and the opening of world markets. The debate should be
about how we can collectively harness the energy of globalization behind larger global
solutions.
This debate
starts with recognizing - and reinforcing - the inherent link between economic growth and
the advancement of environmental, social, and ethical goals; a link which is central to
the idea of "sustainable development". The reality is that trade is a powerful
engine of economic growth, and that economic growth is vital to creating conditions which
favour advancing environmental protection, improving social conditions, or sustaining
ethical values. By opening markets, particularly to exports from developing countries, and
by keeping markets open through clear and enforceable rules, the global trading system is
a natural ally of sustainable development. This is the experience of our economic history
since the creation of the multilateral trading system fifty years ago.
An open
trading system is also important in more fundamental ways. One of the keys to sustainable
development lies in pricing environmental resources to reflect their real scarcity and
true social value. Faced with the prospect of global warming, a thinning atmosphere,
contaminated water or disappearing forest, the idea that we cannot afford the cost of
protecting the environment is rapidly giving way to the idea that we cannot afford not to
protect it - and, moreover, that getting ahead of the business trend towards sustainable
development can actually be profitable. This year, the OECD projects that the market for
environmental goods and services worldwide is worth between US$ 250 and 400 billion.
Although the issue of assigning values and responsibilities for the environment is largely
a question of putting in place the right domestic policies, trade liberalization has an
important role to play here by reducing market inefficiencies which distort price signals.
Then there is
the political value of the international trading system. Open trade on the basis of
universally accepted rules helps to build shared international interests and provides a
powerful motive for maintaining global stability and cooperative relations. And
cooperative relations in turn provide the best possible foundation on which to exert moral
influence and build mutual respect. On the other hand, weakening the international trading
system in any significant way would most certainly mean destabilizing the global order and
closing off opportunities for partnership and dialogue.
Although the
Uruguay Round made progress in reducing barriers to developing country products,
significant tariff escalation and numerous tariff peaks remain. These must be obvious
targets for further negotiation and elimination - especially if we want to relieve the
pressure on developing countries to specialise only in natural resource exploitation or
low value-added, environmentally sensitive activities. Agriculture, in particular, is a
sector where trade liberalization and greater market disciplines could have a positive
effect on the environment. Study after study shows how market access restrictions,
domestic support policies, and export subsidies have been the cause of direct and
significant harm to the environment in many developed countries. And the same time,
developing countries have been denied the full export opportunities for their agricultural
exports which would have allowed them to "buy" better environmental policies. In
the same way, one of the major causes of overfishing throughout the world's oceans is the
excessive subsidization of national fishing fleets.
The
fundamental point is clear. Trade liberalization - not trade restriction - can be a
natural ally of sustainable development. And vice versa. This fact was recognized in the
Rio Declaration of 1992 when it observed that "an open multilateral trading system
makes possible a more efficient allocation and use of resources and thereby contributes to
an increase in production and incomes and to lessen demands on the environment". Just
as "a sound environment provides the ecological and other resources needed to sustain
growth and underpin a continuing expansion of trade".
Does this
mean that trade liberalization on its own can solve all of the complex environmental and
social issues we face in today's interdependent world? Of course not. Freer investment
will not repair the damage to our atmosphere. Lower tariffs will not halt the destruction
of our forests. What an open, rules-based trading system provides is a necessary
precondition - in partnership with the appropriate environmental, development, or social
policies - for building a more globally coherent policy response to the challenges of
globalization.
The broader
solution to environmental, social, and other challenges lies in reaching a global
consensus in each of these areas. Reaching enforceable global agreements and standards.
And building the kind of global institutions needed to manage them. It lies, in other
words, with developing global rules to address global needs - as we have done over fifty
years with the trading system.
Examples of
the kinds of multilateral agreements that are possible include the Convention on
International Trade in Endangered Species (CITES), the Basel Convention, or the Montreal
Protocol. And as early as tomorrow, in Kyoto, some 150 governments from around the world
are poised to agree on targets and timetables to stabilize and reduce greenhouse gas
emissions. Although work has concentrated on emissions from developed economies, the
negotiations over the past week have also aimed at forging partnerships with the
fast-emerging economies of the developing world. The point is that each of these
agreements targets the environmental problem they aim to solve with an environmental
answer - not with a trade answer. And they exemplify the scope for transgovernmental
solutions to specific transborder issues.
Nothing in
the WTO stands in the way of the international community pursuing these goals in
international agreements. On the contrary, the WTO has every interest in building an
effective bridge between the multilateral trade agenda and the multilateral agenda in
areas like the environment, not least because without a coherent strategy for addressing
these challenges, it is trade liberalization - and the multilateral system as a whole -
which will suffer.
Subject to
the basic requirement of non-discrimination, WTO rules place no constraint on the policy
choices available to a country to protect its own environment or health standards against
damage either from domestic production or from the consumption of domestically produced or
imported products. Governments can use any type of trade restriction, including import and
export quotas and prohibitions, or the imposition of taxes or other charges at the border,
for the purpose of environmental protection or resource conservation within their
jurisdiction - as long as basic requirements relating to non-discrimination and
least-trade- restrictiveness are met. In other cases, protective measures should be based
on sound scientific evidence.
What a
country cannot do under WTO rules, however, is apply trade restrictions to attempt to
change the process and production methods - or other policies - of its trading
partners. Why? Basically because the issue of production and process methods lies within
the sovereign jurisdiction of each country.
But this
larger issue of production and process methods once more underlies the pressing need to
reach targeted multilateral solutions to these specific issues. And here again, WTO rules
need not stand in the way. Such agreements might, for example, involve compensatory
payments or inducements to burden-sharing, and include provisions for monitoring
compliance and other follow-up action. As long as the agreement in question is genuinely
multilateral in the sense of being consensus-based among WTO Members, the WTO - under
Article XX - has little to say about the use of such measures.
It is true
that up to now more could - and must - be done by trade and environmental negotiators to
coordinate their policy proposals and to forge a common approach towards trade-related,
global environmental problems - with the result that a number of the most important
Multilateral Environmental Agreements contain trade measures whose consistency with WTO
rules might be open to question. But the reality is that - so far - the issue of legal
compatibility is a theoretical, not a practical problem for the trading system. Over 200
international environmental agreements already co-exist with the WTO without a single
challenge in dispute settlement - suggesting that multilateral cooperation on the
environment - as on many other transborder issues - is a practical option.
But what
about when a multilateral consensus for global action does not exist? How to exert
pressure on countries considered by some to have inadequate, wayward or even distasteful
policies? And isn't this an argument for allowing countries to take unilateral measures -
including trade sanctions - by adapting the WTO rules to accommodate these goals?
I would argue
that the opposite is true. Asking the WTO to solve issues which are not central to its
work - especially when these are issues which governments have failed to address
satisfactorily in other contexts - is not just a recipe for failure. It could do untold
harm to the trading system itself - with all the collateral effects this would have for a
sustainable global economy - without making any progress towards the environmental or
social goals it was meant to address. Let me outline three broad reasons why:
First there
are serious doubts about whether trade agreements offer a useful policy tool to address
many of these challenges. Take the example of a steel mill which produces unacceptably
high levels of sulphur emissions leading to acid rain. Will imposing trade restrictions on
exports from this steel mill really eliminate the problem? It may reduce production for
export markets, but not domestically. In fact, it could have the opposite effect of
forcing the mill to increase its domestic production at lower costs to compensate for the
loss of foreign markets. And this would almost certainly reduce profits which would in
turn reduce the company's ability to invest in cleaner, more environmentally-friendly
technologies. If the problem is pollution then our goal should be to develop policies
which address pollution - not trade. And the same argument, for instance, applies to
issues of animal welfare. A trade sanction is not - and cannot - be a lasting answer to
the much larger problem of cruelty to animals.
The second
point is political. There is a basic flaw in the assumption that an international
consensus on environmental objectives, for instance, which eludes countries in
environmental fora can somehow be reached less painlessly by the same countries in the
WTO. The WTO is a consensus-based organization - and all major decisions are reached on
the basis of mutual agreement. A country which has not been persuaded to join a consensus
to resolve an environmental problem through a Multilateral Environmental Agreement can
hardly be expected to join a consensus in the WTO to change the trade rules in ways that
would allow it to be punished. The reality is probably just the opposite. In the WTO such
efforts would be more difficult because the logic of the system is trade - and not the
environment - and because the rules are enforceable.
The third -
and perhaps most important - point is a legal one. The WTO is not - and has no intention
of becoming - a supranational body with the power to determine values and standards for
the international community - especially in the absence of internationally agreed
standards and rules. It is not a world policeman that can force compliance upon unwilling
governments. The genius of the multilateral system lies in the way the free pursuit of
national self-interest within a consensus-based system has produced such extraordinary
collective benefits in terms of open trade, shared interests, and cooperative
international action. Equally revolutionary is the core principle of non-discrimination
which has done so much to remove power politics from international trade relations, by
guaranteeing all countries equal rights within the system - irrespective of their size and
power.
The irony is
that some would now undermine these basic principles of international cooperation in the
name of larger global objectives. Indeed, one paradoxical result of the current search for
global solutions to environmental, social and other issues is growing pressure in some
quarters for unilateral trade measures. But whose environmental standards, cultural
traditions, political systems represent a universal norm? Which one of these values and
standards should be imposed on other countries? And do we really want the WTO to play the
judge, jury and police of environmental, social and ethical values? Not only are we asking
the trading system to perform a role for which it was never intended. Worse, this is the
surest way of poisoning the spirit of international consensus and cooperation that we so
desperately need to begin addressing the broader challenges of the next century.
I don't
pretend that reaching multilateral agreements on many environmental, labour, or ethical
issues will be easy. But nor should we pretend that there is a short cut through the WTO -
or a magic bullet called trade sanctions. Unilateralism will not convince any country of
the validity of the values which another asserts. Nor will trade sanctions serve as a wake
up call for public opinion around the world. This approach could be seen as a sign of
weakness not strength. It could reflect a basic lack of confidence that one's rights or
values can be freely shared by others.
Divisive
approaches can only lead to divided outcomes. By definition, the global challenges we all
face call for shared and cooperative solutions. And this can only be achieved through
consensus. The only road ahead, in other words, is the multilateral road - which will
require determination, skill, and patience.
And there is
good reason for hope. Last year at the WTO's first Ministerial Conference in Singapore we
faced enormous pressure on the highly contentious issues of core labour standards.
Positions on either side of the issue were very strongly held. But after months of careful
preparation in Geneva, and five days of intense debate in Singapore, we emerged from the
Conference with a clear and strong consensus - a consensus first, that members were
committed to the observance of core labour standards, internationally agreed; second, that
the ILO was the relevant body where the issue of labour standards should be addressed;
third, that such standards are promoted by growth and development, fostered by trade
liberalization; and fourth, that labour standards should in no way be used for
protectionist purposes or to put into question the comparative advantage of countries.
The fact that
the ILO is now making important strides in these areas demonstrates, not only that
consensus on the most difficult issues is possible, but that consensus is absolutely
critical to real and lasting progress. Supporting the current efforts in the ILO towards
reaching a declaration on Fundamental Workers Rights is the best way of demonstrating that
the real objective is to promote labour standards and not to seek protectionist measures.
The social
issue must be at the heart of globalization. As with the environment, the question is not
whether the social question should be addressed in our interdependent world. The question
is how. The goal of a just society remains immutable and unchanging - it is our strategy
for achieving that goal which must be new.
I began by
observing that we have a unique opportunity in this post-Cold War world for developing
shared approaches to shared challenges. The danger we face in the time ahead is not from
the debate about globalization. Its impact on jobs, the environment, labour standards,
human rights, or other ethical issues is something which can only be clarified and
explained if these issues are brought out into the open in an honest and informative way.
The real danger is that we will fail to open up the globalization debate - and allow it
instead to be dominated by a dialogue of the deaf. Growth versus the environment. Free
trade versus labour standards. Globalization versus Human Rights. This is back to the
future - a return to the ideological conflicts of the last century, not a shared vision
for the next.
Globalization
is a process driven by technological and economic realities. But its historical impact
will be decided by our ability to find global answers to increasingly global problems. We
all understand the uncertainties and anxieties raised by the sweeping revolution around
us. This has been the case throughout history when people face profound change. Imagine
what the artisans felt on the eve of the Industrial Revolution - the very feelings and
fears which led the Luddites to destroy power looms in early industrial England. And this
was a phenomenon affecting less than 200 million people over the course of the century.
Now we are confronted with a revolution that affects the greatest part of the world - from
2 to 3 billion people - and all in less than a generation.
The first
industrialized country, the U.K., took 58 years to double its per capita living standards
after the industrial revolution; the US took 47 years; Germany, 43 years; and Japan 34
years. But from 1966, Malaysia took just 11 years; Chile 10 years, and China 9. Moreover,
these periods continue to shrink. Ten developing countries, accounting for almost a third
of the world's population - or over 1.5 billion people - more than doubled their average
per capita income levels between 1980 and 1995. All this is happening because these
countries have chosen to join the world economy and to open their borders.
Who can claim
that this is a bad thing? Look at the figures for the German economy. Germany remains the
third largest economy in the world, the second largest trading power, and a central pillar
of an expanding and dynamic European Union. Last year exports accounted for over 30 per
cent of Germany's GDP, up from 15 per cent in 1970. A large share of these exports - some
US$ 290 billion in 1995 - still go to fellow members of the European Union. But the
fastest growing share of German exports - from US$ 165 billion in 1990 to US$ 218 billion
in 1995 - are now destined for world markets outside of the EU.
Greater
global coherence in policy-making - for Germany, for Europe, and for the world - is not
only a logical but a necessary next step in this age of interdependence. As we begin to
address the growing gap between the rules of international trade and the rules needed to
manage the many other facets of global integration, perhaps the greatest contribution
which the WTO can make is through its example. What the multilateral trading system offers
is an important symbol of what can be accomplished internationally through cooperation and
consensus - it is a symbol which we cannot afford to tarnish or devalue. |