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Consolidation
of trade liberalization and other reforms underpinned
economic growth and welfare improvements in Peru
haut
de pageThe
new WTO Secretariat report, along with a policy statement
from the Peruvian Government, will serve as a basis for
the second trade policy review of Peru which will take
place in the Trade Policy Review Body of the WTO on 30
and 31 May 2000.
The report notes that Peru carried out major reforms in
the 1990s, including the privatization of most
state-owned enterprises, the establishment of a sound
regulatory framework and the strengthening of the
financial system. Reflecting Peru's generally open trade
regime, total recorded merchandise trade grew at an
average annual rate of 8.5% between 1994 and 1998, the
report says. Trade in services also grew significantly
driven by the economic liberalization process. The report
also notes that the stock of foreign direct investment
increased five-fold since 1993 thanks to the
stabilization process and the establishment of a legal
framework for the promotion and the protection of
investment.
The report states that the United States remains Peru's
principal trade partner both as an export destination and
import source, followed by countries from the Latin
American Integration Association, the European Union and
Japan. Peru exports consist mostly of primary and
semi-processed products, with fishing and mineral
products together accounting for some 60% of total
merchandise exports. As a consequence, Peruvian exports
are exposed to important variability both in terms of
volume and earnings.
The report says that there have been no significant
changes to the general structure of Peru's trade policy
since its last review in 1994. Peru still uses tariffs as
its main instrument of border protection. The average
applied MFN rate was 13.6% in 1999, down from some 16% in
1993. Some 330 agricultural items receive protection
through a 5% or 10% tariff surcharge; of these, 23 are
also subject to variable specific duties providing
open-ended ad valorem protection. The report points out
that the entire tariff is bound but that the wide margin
between applied and bound rates (generally 30%) may
undermine the predictability of the tariff regime.
The report indicates that non-tariff barriers to trade
appear generally low. Anti-dumping has been used
sparingly, and no countervailing or safeguard measures
are in force. However, Peru still maintains certain
local-content requirements and trade-related investment
measures, while government procurement may favour
domestic suppliers. The report notes that the scope and
complexity of fiscal incentives raise concerns, with one
scheme conditional on export performance. Refunds under
Peru's drawback regime are not limited to the actual
amount of import duties paid. A small number of Peruvian
exports are subject to export restrictions, while others
appear to face significant non-tariff barrier in foreign
markets.
The report notes that agriculture is an important sector
in the Peruvian economy, both in terms of output and
employment. Difficult adjustments in this sector have
resulted from the liberalization and reductions in state
assistance initiated in the early 1990s which,
nevertheless, have underpinned strong output expansion
directed at both domestic and foreign markets. However,
the concentration of various border and internal support
mesures in a limited range of favoured products (certain
crops and dairy products) may well hinder further gains
by misallocating labour, land, and capital resources at
the expense of other activities. The report also notes
that driven by international demand, production of coca
leaf and derived products still appears sizeable albeit
declining.
Peru's strategy to attract foreign private investment has
been particularly successful in the mining industry,
which has regained its leading role in the economy. The
mining and energy sectors together attracted just over
one third of total direct foreign investment during
1992-99, says the report. Peru also has a large fishing
industry, which is, however, highly cyclical and suffers
from apparently policy induced over-investment and
over-fishing.
The report indicates that besides the processing of
mineral, agricultural and fisheries products,
manufacturing activities make only a small contribution
to Peru's economy, having experienced extensive
restructuring from increased import competition.
Concerning the services sector, the report mentions that
the Peruvian State used to be a major supplier of
services, including in financial, transport and
telecommunications activities, but that such involvement
has decreased dramatically since the mid 1990s. The
report notes that, in parallel, foreign access to Peru's
services market has improved markedly. Under the WTO's
General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS), Peru
undertook horizontal commitments with respect to movement
of natural persons and treatment of foreign investment.
Peru's commitments in telecommunication services are
particularly comprehensive.
The report states that Peru takes part in regional
integration schemes within the Andean Community and the
Latin American Integration Association, as well as in the
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum and the
negotiating groups of the Free-trade area of the
Americas. The report notes, however, that despite Peru's
long-standing participation in the regional integration
processes within Latin America, the share of reciprocal
preferential trade in total trade remains relatively
modest.
In addition to the negotiated schemes, Peru benefits from
increased market access to several countries under
Generalized System of Preferences schemes, particularly
under the special regimes granted by the European Union
and the United States to promote alternatives to coca
cultivation and production.
Notes
to Editors
Trade Policy Reviews are an exercise, mandated in the WTO
agreements, in which member countries trade and
related policies are examined and evaluated at regular
intervals. Significant developments which may have an
impact on the global trading system are also monitored.
For each review, two documents are prepared: a policy
statement by the government of the member under review,
and a detailed report written independently by the WTO
Secretariat. These two documents are then discussed by
the WTOs full membership in the Trade Policy Review
Body (TPRB). These documents and the proceedings of the
TPRBs meetings are published shortly afterwards.
Since 1995, when the WTO came into force, services and
trade-related aspects of intellectual property rights
have also been covered.
For this review, the WTOs Secretariat report,
together with the policy statement prepared by Peru, will
be discussed by the Trade Policy Review Body on 29 and 31
May 2000. The Secretariat report covers the development
of all aspects of Peru's trade policies, including
domestic laws and regulations, the institutional
framework, trade policies by measure and by sector.
Attached to this press release is a summary of the
observations in the Secretariat report and parts of the
government's policy statement. The Secretariat report and
the governments policy statement are available for
the press in the newsroom of the WTO internet site
(www.wto.org). These two documents and the minutes of the
TPRBs discussion and the Chairmans summing
up, will be published in hardback in due course and will
be available from the Secretariat, Centre William
Rappard, 154 rue de Lausanne, 1211 Geneva 21.
Since December 1989, the following reports have been
completed: Argentina
(1992 and 1999), Australia (1989, 1994 and 1998), Austria
(1992), Bangladesh (1992 and 2000), Benin (1997), Bolivia
(1993 and 1999), Botswana (1998), Brazil (1992 and 1996),
Burkina Faso (1998), Cameroon (1995), Canada (1990, 1992,
1994, 1996 and 1998), Chile (1991 and 1997), Colombia
(1990 and 1996), Costa Rica (1995), Côte dIvoire
(1995), Cyprus (1997), the Czech Republic (1996), the
Dominican Republic (1996), Egypt (1992 and 1999), El
Salvador (1996), the European Communities (1991, 1993,
1995 and 1997), Fiji (1997), Finland (1992), Ghana
(1992), Guinea (1999), Hong Kong (1990, 1994 and 1998),
Hungary (1991 and 1998), Iceland (1994 and 2000), India
(1993 and 1998), Indonesia (1991, 1994 and 1998), Israel
(1994 and 1999), Jamaica (1998), Japan (1990, 1992, 1995
and 1998), Kenya (1993 and 2000), Korea, Rep. of (1992
and 1996), Lesotho (1998), Macau (1994), Malaysia (1993
and 1997), Mali (1998), Mauritius (1995), Mexico (1993
and 1997), Morocco (1989 and 1996), New Zealand (1990 and
1996), Namibia (1998), Nicaragua (1999), Nigeria (1991
and 1998), Norway (1991 and 1996), Pakistan (1995), Papua
New Guinea (1999), Paraguay (1997), Peru (1994), the
Philippines (1993), Poland (1993), Romania (1992 and
1999), Senegal (1994), Singapore (1992, 1996 and 2000),
Slovak Republic (1995), the Solomon Islands (1998), South
Africa (1993 and 1998), Sri Lanka(1995), Swaziland
(1998), Sweden (1990 and 1994), Switzerland (1991 and
1996), Tanzania (2000), Thailand (1991, 1995 and 1999),
Togo (1999), Trinidad and Tobago (1998), Tunisia (1994),
Turkey (1994 and 1998), the United States (1989, 1992,
1994, 1996 and 1999), Uganda (1995), Uruguay (1992 and
1998), Venezuela (1996), Zambia (1996) and Zimbabwe
(1994).
Rapport
du Secrétariat
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de page
ORGANE
D'EXAMEN DES POLITIQUES COMMERCIALES
PEROU
Rapport du Secrétariat - Observations récapitulatives
Peru's
generally open trade and investment regimes have remained
relatively stable since its previous Trade Policy Review
in 1994. The continued consolidation of earlier,
far-reaching reforms has paid off during the last six
years in the form of significant growth in GDP,
employment, trade, and foreign investment, as well as in
improved social welfare indicators. In the context of the
Uruguay Round, Peru consolidated within the WTO many of
its unilateral liberalization and economic reforms, and
has subsequently enacted or amended domestic regulations
to ensure implantation of its multilateral obligations.
Peru's trading partners have thus benefited from growing
market access for their merchandise exports and services
suppliers.
A still relatively modest GDP per capita (some US$2,500
per person), which in real terms is no higher than in the
mid 1960s, highlights the need for Peru to achieve higher
rates of growth. Eliminating remaining impediments to
greater economic efficiency would be of crucial
importance in this regard both by enhancing the
international competitiveness of Peruvian producers and
exporters, and by making Peru more attractive as an
investment destination. A fresh round of reforms might
include further customs simplification, more even and
predictable tariff protection, the elimination of minor
remaining local-content or export performance
requirements, and greater transparency in support
programmes. Current support for certain agricultural
activities is out of line with the principle of sectoral
neutrality. Pressing forward the privatization and
concession programmes would create new opportunities for
private investments and inject greater competition in the
domestic market.
Economic and Institutional Environment
GDP grew at an average annual rate of 5.6% during
1993-99. Growth, however, has tended to oscillate, with
1998 in particular registering an important slowdown, due
mainly to a series of exogenous shocks. Inflation has
been brought down, and stronger external balances have
allowed international reserves to rise to comfortable
levels. Regaining investor confidence, through the
normalization of relations with external creditors and
debt restructuring, has also been an important ingredient
of Peru's economic recovery.
In the wake of the economic reforms of the early 1990s,
trade and investment flows have increased substantially.
Between 1994 and 1998, total recorded merchandise trade
grew at an average annual rate of 8.5%. Peru's export
supply is concentrated in primary and semi-processed
products, mainly from mining and fishing activities, and
is exposed to sharp fluctuations both in terms of volume
(output variations) and earnings (price variations).
Trade in non-factor services has also grown substantially
since Peru's previous Review, driven by the economic
liberalization process and in parallel with rising
merchandise trade. The stabilization process and the
establishment of a legal framework for the promotion and
the protection of investment has seen the stock of
foreign direct investment increase five-fold since 1993.
There have been no significant changes to the general
structure of trade policy formulation or implementation
since Peru's last Review. The sectoral regulatory
framework has also remained relatively stable, after
earlier, wide-ranging reforms led to the comprehensive
liberalization of sectoral investment rules and an
ambitious privatization programme that saw the State
withdraw from many production activities particularly
during 1994-96. Investors are offered additional
incentives through "law stability agreements",
conditional on meeting minimum investment, job creation
or export performance criteria.
The competition policy framework continues to be
developed with a view to ensuring that consumers benefit
from the liberalization process. Aware of the
interlinkages and the need for consistency between
competition policy and protection of intellectual
property rights and the use of contingency measures,
responsibility for all three areas has been given to a
single agency, INDECOPI.
Trade Policy Developments
The aim of Peru's trade policy is to liberalize the trade
regime so as to provide non-distorting incentives that
allow an efficient allocation of resources and foster the
development of economic activities according to market
signals. Consistent with this aim, Peru uses tariffs as
its main instrument of border protection. The average
applied MFN rate was 13.6% in 1999, down from some 16% in
1993. The tariff is based on a two-level ad valorem
structure applied on the c.i.f. value of imports. In
1997, the two main rates were reduced to 12% and 20%
(from 15% and 25%); simultaneously, tariffs on some 300
agricultural products were increased from 15% to 20%.
Some 84% of all tariff lines are subject to the 12% duty
rate. The entire tariff is bound but the wide margin
between applied and bound rates (generally 30%) may
undermine the predictability of the tariff regime.
Some 330 tariff items involving agricultural products
receive additional protection through a 5% or 10% tariff
surcharge. Of these, 23 items are also subject to
variable specific duties intended as a price
stabilization and protection mechanism. In early 2000,
these duties affected five product groups: milk, maize,
sorghum, rice, and sugar (also wheat products until
1998). As, in effect, variable specific duties provide
open-ended ad valorem protection, concerns arise about
their use undermining predictability, distorting
production and possibly leading to the breach of tariff
bindings.
Peru's basic import formalities have remained essentially
unchanged since its previous Review and in the main
appear to be straightforward. Preshipment inspection,
introduced in 1992 to prevent under-valuation, is still
in use although the range of goods covered has been
reduced. Peru receives technical assistance to implement
the WTO Agreement on Customs Valuation, and was granted a
waiver to delay full implementation until April 2000.
Both preferential and non-preferential rules of origin
are applied, the latter in relation to contingency
measures.
Non-tariff barriers to trade appear generally low.
Anti-dumping measures have been used sparingly, with only
nine measures in force in early 2000, the majority
affecting non-WTO exporters; there are no countervailing
or safeguard measures in force. Peru maintains
local-content requirements in relation to various
government nutrition programmes, as well as a
trade-related investment measure in dairy. A number of
provisions favour domestic suppliers in government
procurement, which is governed by a more transparent
regulatory framework introduced in 1997. Peru is not a
member of the WTO plurilateral Agreement on Government
Procurement.
Regional, sectoral, and social policies make use of
fiscal incentives whose scope and complexity raise some
concern, although amounts involved are relatively small.
Free zones and other special fiscal zones are largely
used for regional development objectives but seem to have
fallen short of their goals; fiscal exemptions provided
under the CETICOS scheme established in late 1996 are
conditional on export performance. Preferential credit to
selected sectors is available from the national
development bank, COFIDE.
Peruvian exports appear to receive limited direct
government support. Peru's drawback regime refunds 5% of
the f.o.b. value of the good exported regardless of the
actual amount of duties paid on imported inputs. Export
restrictions apply on guano, rough wood and certain
animals. Visas are required for textile exports to the
United States, with export restraints on cotton towels.
Under the WTO Agreement on Textiles and Clothing, the
European Union applies quotas to Peruvian exports of
cotton yarns and fabrics. A number of non-tariff measures
implemented in foreign markets (e.g. sanitary and
phytosanitary measures) may also hinder certain other
Peruvian exports.
Sectoral Policy Developments
Since its last Review, Peru has continued to pursue a
sectoral policy approach that emphasizes neutrality of
incentives across activities. Nevertheless, a small
number of activities are still favoured through special
fiscal incentives or tariffs.
In the agricultural sector, liberalization and reductions
in state assistance initiated in the early 1990s have
resulted in difficult adjustments which, nevertheless,
underlie strong output expansion directed at both
domestic and foreign markets. However, the concentration
of various border and internal support mesures in a
limited range of favoured products (certain crops and
dairy products) may well hinder further gains by
misallocating labour, land, and capital resources at the
expense of other activities. Driven by international
demand, production of coca leaf and derived products
still appears sizeable albeit declining.
Peru has a revealed comparative advantage in certain
fishing and mineral products, which together typically
account for some 60% of its total merchandise exports.
Peru has a large fishing industry which is, however,
highly cyclical and suffers from apparently
policy-induced over-investment and over-fishing. Peru's
strategy to attract local and foreign private investment
has been particularly successful in the mining industry,
which has regained its leading role in the economy.
Mining and energy attracted just over one third of total
direct foreign investment into Peru during 1992-99.
Besides the processing of mineral, agricultural and
fisheries products, manufacturing activities make only a
small contribution to Peru's economy; these activities
have experienced extensive restructuring from increased
import competition.
The Peruvian State used to be a major supplier of
services, including in financial, transport, and
telecommunications activities, but such involvement has
decreased dramatically since the mid 1990s. In parallel,
foreign access to Peru's services market has improved
markedly. The ambitious privatization programme and the
general policy of promoting private investment has
induced important structural changes in most service
areas. With respect to privatized public services, the
Peruvian authorities are seeking to establish a strong
regulatory framework in particular to prevent the abuse
of dominant positions in service markets where
competition is limited by technical constrains.
Trade Policy and Foreign Trading Partners
Through its participation in the WTO and regional
initiatives, Peru has tried to enhance access to
international markets so as to generate economies of
scale and specialization. While welcoming the
strengthening of the multilateral trading system and
increased transparency and predictability that followed
the conclusion of the Uruguay Round and the establishment
of the WTO, the Peruvian authorities have noted that in
some areas actual results have not met expectations. In
their view, this is particularly the case in sectors such
as agriculture, textiles, and clothing, and in respect to
new disciplines for the adoption of anti-dumping
measures.
Peru ratified the Marrakesh Agreement Establishing the
WTO in December 1994, which is an integral part of the
Peruvian legislation. Peru has enacted or amended various
domestic regulations to harmonize them with its
international obligations and thus facilitate their
application, in particular in the area of intellectual
property rights. As a result of the Uruguay Round, Peru
bound its entire tariff, compared with previous bindings
on only 460 lines. Peru grants at least MFN tariff to all
partners.
Under the WTO's General Agreement on Trade in Services
(GATS), Peru undertook horizontal commitments with
respect to movement of natural persons and treatment of
foreign investment; although these commitments apply only
to sectors included in its GATS Schedule, in practice
Peru's legislation grants similar market access across
most service activities. Sector-specific commitments
cover 7 out of 12 broad categories of services.
Reflecting Peru's legislation, market access and national
treatment for services supplied through commercial
presence (i.e. treatment granted to foreign investment)
has been in general fully committed. Peru's commitments
in telecommunication services are particularly
comprehensive, with all services bound except for the
granting of national treatment in relation to the
presence of natural persons.
In parallel with its participation in the multilateral
trading system, Peru takes part in regional integration
schemes within the Andean Community and the Latin
American Integration Association, as well as in the
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum and the
negotiating groups of the Free Trade Area of the
Americas. Despite Peru's long-standing participation in
the regional integration processes within Latin America,
the share of reciprocal preferential trade in total trade
remains relatively modest. In addition to the negotiated
schemes, Peru benefits from increased market access to
several countries under Generalized System of Preferences
schemes, including under the special regimes granted by
the European Union and the United States to promote
alternatives to coca cultivation and production.
According to the Peruvian authorities, these schemes have
resulted in substantial export diversification.
Rapport
du gouvernement
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de page
ORGANE
D'EXAMEN DES POLITIQUES COMMERCIALES
PEROU
Rapport du gouvernement -
I.
Executive summary
A. Recent developments
1. Over the past six years, Peru has continued to
intensify its economic reforms and trade liberalization
with a view to strengthening its integration in the world
economy. To that end, it has not only made the
adjustments required to meet its multilateral
commitments, but has also reinforced the liberalization
of its external goods and services market through trade
negotiations.
2. Peru became a Contracting Party to the GATT in 1951,
participated in the Uruguay Round negotiations and was an
original Member of the WTO. It adapted its domestic
legislation to the Agreements adopted at the conclusion
of the Uruguay Round, and has thus respected its
multilateral commitments. Since 1 April 2000, Peru has
applied the WTO Agreement on Customs Valuation to 100 per
cent of its imported goods.
3. In the context of trade liberalization, tariff levels
have been lowered and tariff spread reduced, while
various restrictions on free trade have been eliminated.
There are currently two tariff levels for imports (12 and
20 per cent) and temporary surcharges for certain
agricultural products.
4. During this period, the Government's conduct of
economic affairs has been marked by prudent management of
fiscal and monetary policy, enabling it to balance the
budget in 1997 and create suitable conditions for the
promotion of investment.
- With respect to monetary policy, the sole objective is
price stability, so there is an independent Central Bank
which has opted for the monetary base as an intermediate
target. From the outset, a floating exchange rate system
was also adopted.
- With respect to fiscal policy, the Government continued
the tax reform process, simplifying the tax regime in
1994 by retaining only four taxes: the general sales tax,
income tax, the selective consumption tax, and the import
tax. This reform was marked by stringent fiscal
discipline and in 1997 resulted in the first surplus in
the public sector accounts for 30 years.
5. These reforms, coupled with a suitable legal framework
and sound economic management, have enabled the country
to be considered attractive for foreign investment. The
share of investment in GDP terms rose from 15.6 per cent
in 1990 to 24.4 per cent in 1997, dropping to 21.7 per
cent by the end of 1999 owing to the 1998 and 1999
crises. As regards the foreign debt, the agreements
signed with the Paris Club and the commercial banks
between 1996 and 1997 led to the regularization of Peru's
relations with its creditors.
6. As a result of this situation, the Peruvian economy
grew at an average annual rate of 5.5 per cent during the
period 1994-1999, while inflation fell to 3.7 per cent in
1999. Meanwhile, exports and imports increased by an
average annual rate of around 9.7 and 8.4 per cent
respectively.
7. In parallel with its domestic reforms, the Government
consolidated its involvement in trade integration
mechanisms at various levels.
- Peru formally became a member of the Asia-Pacific
Economic Cooperation forum (APEC) in November 1998.
- At the Americas level, Peru is taking an active part in
the negotiations on the Free Trade Area of the Americas
(FTAA).
- At the regional level, the integration process within
the Latin American Integration Association (LAIA) is
continuing.
- At the subregional level, Decision 414 of the Andean
Community (CAN), which facilitates Peru's full
reintegration into the Andean Free Trade Area and sets a
timetable for progressive reductions in tariffs for its
members, entered into force in July 1997. In 1998,
Decision 439 approving a framework agreement for the
liberalization of trade in services was adopted.
B. Outlook
8. Over the next few years, Peru's economic policy will
be aimed at promoting sustained growth in GDP with a view
to achieving annual increases of over 6 per cent and
lowering inflation to international levels so as to
achieve economic and social progress in Peru. In order to
do so, Peru considers it essential to maintain a balance
in public finance and a cautious monetary policy, and to
pursue the structural reform process.
9. Peru will maintain its commitment to a free trade
regime, the free movement of capital and a floating
exchange rate, and to further reforms in foreign trade
and the customs regime.
10. Peru welcomes the initiative on a new round of
multilateral trade negotiations provided that a consensus
is reached on a broad and balanced agenda which reflects
the interests of all Members and that transparent working
methods are adopted so as to guarantee equitable
participation by all Members concerned.
11. For Peru, it is particularly important to strengthen
a stable, transparent and predictable trade environment
that allows greater access to international markets for
Peru's exports.
II.
Trade and economic policy environment
A. Trend in the economic environment
12. The favourable trend in the Peruvian economy's major
economic indicators since 1994 has to a large extent
depended on prudent management of fiscal and monetary
policy and the dynamic structural reform process
initiated in the early 1990s. As a result of the new
economic environment, inflation fell from 7,600 per cent
at the beginning of the 1990s to one-digit levels of
between 3 and 4 per cent by the end of the decade. In
1997, fiscal balance was achieved after a period of
deficits exceeding 10 per cent of GDP at the end of the
1980s and the proper conditions were in place to
encourage investment on a permanent basis and achieve
sustained growth of economic activity. This process was
stimulated by Peru's reintegration into the international
financial system, the pacification process, a series of
structural reforms and the adjustment programme which
reduced the Peruvian economy's country risk and resulted
in a substantial flow of foreign capital, mainly over the
medium and the long term, which has financed a large part
of the growth in production without endangering the
viability of the external accounts.
13. During this period, the sole objective of monetary
policy has been to stabilize prices, as established in
the 1993 Constitution and the Organizational Law on the
Central Bank. Since 1994, the Bank has announced target
ranges of inflation for the year in order to reaffirm its
commitment to lowering inflation and bringing it down to
the level of the industrialized countries. In order to
achieve this ultimate objective, the monetary authorities
have opted for growth in the monetary base as an
intermediate target. Another important element in this
process has been the adoption of a floating exchange rate
system which has allowed Peru to face crises such as the
drop in the terms of trade without suffering traumatic
effects. Interventions in the foreign exchange market are
mainly to prevent unjustified fluctuations in the
exchange rate. These interventions led to a strengthening
of the Central Bank's foreign exchange position, which
went from a negative situation in July 1990 to around
US$2,500 million at the end of 1999, amounting to 1.8
times the monetary base.
14. In the area of fiscal policy, after the initial
programme in 1990 eliminated the major sources of
imbalance, particularly the financing of the Central
Bank, in 1992 the Government adopted a series of measures
to simplify the tax regime and restructure the tax
administration. The result of this process was that in
1994 the tax regime only comprised four taxes: the
general sales tax, income tax, the selective consumption
tax, and the import tax. This policy, combined with
careful management of fiscal spending, meant that in
1997, the public sector accounts showed a surplus after
30 years. In 1998 and 1999, the events which occurred due
to external crises and the El Niño phenomenon had an
impact on fiscal performance.
15. At the end of 1999, the Government adopted a Law on
Fiscal Prudence and Transparency which inter alia
provides that the fiscal deficit may not exceed one per
cent (1%) of GDP as of 2002 and that the increase in the
Government's non-financial spending should not exceed two
per cent (2%) in real terms. It should be noted that
between 1996 and 1997, the Government reached an
agreement with the Paris Club and the commercial banks
that regularized relations with its creditors. It should
also be emphasized that the privatization process, which
has been on a large scale since 1994, has contributed a
sum of around US$9,000 million through the sale of
enterprises.
16. It is important to emphasize that the reforms
undertaken such as the liberalization of foreign trade,
the foreign exchange market, the capital account and the
financial system, together with privatization and reforms
in the labour market and legislation on foreign
investment, have given economic activity an important
boost, particularly investment. Investment's share of the
GDP rose from 15.6 per cent in 1990 to 24.4 per cent in
1997. Following the crises in 1998 and 1999, however, the
figure fell to 21.7 per cent at the end of 1999.
17. It should be emphasized that the larger amount of
investment has had an important impact on foreign trade
as it has not only made for a greater supply of goods for
export but has also led to higher demand for imported
goods. This situation meant that the deficit in the
balance-of-payments current account rose from US$2,648
million in 1994 to US$3,790 million by the end of 1998,
falling subsequently to US$2,030 million in 1999. It is
important to note, however, that during the period
1994-1999 over two-thirds of this deficit was financed by
long-term private capital (excluding the revenue
generated by privatization).
18. The preservation of the economic foundations and the
legal framework for foreign investment have enabled Peru
to be considered an attractive place for foreign
investment over the past decade and have complemented the
efforts made at the domestic level to restore sustained
growth after the international crises.
19. Article 63 of the 1993 Constitution gives foreign and
domestic investment equal treatment. Furthermore, current
legislation gives total freedom to repatriate profits and
dividends abroad, lease technology, pay trademark rights,
and also allows for the possibility of private investment
in public services. The Government has signed bilateral
agreements which allow foreign investors to insure their
investments against non-commercial risks with
organizations such as the Multilateral Investment
Guarantee Agency (MIGA) and the Overseas Private
Investment Corporation (OPIC) and to sign tax
stabilization agreements with the Government.
20. Foreign investment flows increased significantly
throughout the decade. From a level of close to US$13
million in 1990, they rose to around US$1,600 million in
1994 and US$2,200 million at the end of 1999, even though
flows of investment to Peru fell in 1998, as they did in
a large part of Latin America. During the period
1994-1999, the main sources of foreign direct investment
were Spain, United States of America, United Kingdom,
Canada and Chile. The sectors which received the major
part of the accumulated flow of foreign direct investment
during this period were communications, energy, mining,
industry and finance.
21. As a result of this situation, during the period
1994-1999 Peru's economy grew at an average annual rate
of 5.5 per cent, while inflation fell to around 3.7 per
cent in 1999. In this new environment marked by greater
economic stability foreign trade was boosted, partly as a
result of the improvement in Peru's terms of trade.
Consequently, exports and imports increased between 1995
and 1999 at average annual rates of around 9.7 per cent
and 8.4 per cent respectively.
22. In 1998, as a result of the impact of El Niño and of
the financial crises in Asia and Russia on Latin
America's emerging economies, the fall in the price of
exports of primary goods led to a decrease of 13 per cent
in the terms of trade compared with the average for 1997,
affecting consumption and private investment in
particular due to the negative expectations regarding
future income. The drop in domestic demand, 0.6 per cent
in 1998, meant that Peru's economy showed only 0.3 per
cent growth in GDP during that year. The value of exports
and imports of goods fell by 16.1 and 4.1 per cent
respectively in comparison with 1997 levels.
Nevertheless, throughout the year, the Central Bank
pursued its efforts to achieve price stability, so the
inflation rate continued to fall and in December 1998
reached a cumulative rate of around 6 per cent.
23. Peru's economy has been showing signs of recovery
since the last quarter of 1999, recording growth in GDP
of 3.8 per cent for the year, the highest rate in Latin
America. Exports once again experienced vigorous growth
and rose by 6.6 per cent, even though there was a 5.2 per
cent reduction in the terms of trade, while the value of
imports fell by 18.1 per cent. In terms of goods and
services, the value of Peru's exports rose from US$7,487
million in 1998 to US$7,793 million in 1999 (an increase
of 4.1 per cent), while imports of goods and services
fell from US$10,492 million to US$8,857 million (15.6 per
cent).
24. In addition, efforts to reduce inflation to
international levels continued. In 1999, inflation was
3.7 per cent, the lowest rate recorded in Peru's economy
over the past 40 years and the second lowest in the past
60 years.
B. Trade policy objective
25. Peru's trade policy of openness and liberalization
seeks to integrate Peru in the global economy so that it
can take advantage of specialization in international
markets. Peru therefore pays particular attention to
strengthening a predictable international trade system
based on fair competition, the development of comparative
advantages and less protectionism.
26. The trade policy objective is to help lay down the
bases for sustained growth and the modernization of the
Peruvian economy, seeking to enhance its efficiency and
productivity in order to guarantee internal and external
competitiveness and greater participation in global trade
flows.
C. Reinforcement of the opening up of the
Peruvian economy
27. One of the foundations of the structural reforms was
trade liberalization. In order to make international
prices the catalyst for efficient production and ensure
that the domestic market faced external competition,
tariff levels and spread were drastically reduced and all
quantitative restrictions on foreign trade were
abolished. At the end of the past decade, there were 39
tariff rates (with an average of 70 per cent) and, if
existing surcharges are included, the total was 56
effective tariff rates, which distorted the efficiency of
domestic production and the development of export
activities. As part of the process of reinforcing the
opening up of trade, in April 1997 the two tariff levels
were
reduced from 25 to 20 per cent and 15 to 12 per cent
respectively. At present, 85 per cent of tariff headings
are subject to a rate of 12 per cent and the remainder to
20 per cent, so that the average weighted tariff for the
whole of the NANDINA classification fell from 15.3 per
cent in December 1996 to 13.1 per cent after the
aforementioned tariff reductions. It should be added that
there are temporary surcharges on some agricultural
products. Certain restrictions which affected free trade
have also been abolished.
D. Relations with major trading partners
28. Peru's major trading partner during the period
1994-1999 was the United States of America, which
accounted for 33 per cent of its trade in 1998. Exports
and imports from the United States amounted in each case
to 33 per cent of the relevant totals. Trade with the
United States has been given renewed impetus by the
Andean Trade Preferences Act since Peru was made eligible
for this preferential scheme in 1993.
29. The second trading partner in terms of importance is
the European Union, which accounted for 22 per cent of
Peru's total volume of trade in 1998. The share of
Peruvian exports to the European Union fell from 31 per
cent in 1994 to 22 per cent in 1998. The share of imports
from the Union rose from 16 per cent to 22 per cent in
the same year.
30. The LAIA countries' share of total trade during this
period remained steady and in 1998 represented 22 per
cent. Countries belonging to the Andean Community play an
important role and account for 8 per cent of trade,
corresponding to 8 per cent and 7 per cent of exports and
imports respectively; next come the MERCOSUR countries,
which in 1998 accounted for 7 per cent of Peru's trade,
corresponding to 4 per cent for exports and 9 per cent
for imports.
31. Lastly, other important foreign trading partners are
Asian nations such as Japan and the People's Republic of
China. After a period of sustained growth (17.1 per cent)
in the value of exports of goods to these countries
during the period 1994-1997, in 1998 the volume fell
sharply (53.4 per cent), while the rate of growth in
imports of goods from these countries, which was 5.8 per
cent over the period 1994-1997, fell to 3.2 per cent in
1998.
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