Economic research conference
La séptima conferencia FMI/Banco Mundial/OMC sobre el comercio
Los días 24 y 25 de junio de 2019 se celebra en la sede de la OMC, en Ginebra, el séptimo taller organizado conjuntamente por la OMC, el Banco Mundial y el Fondo Monetario Internacional. Con motivo de este evento, se reúnen expertos en comercio de las tres instituciones para presentar trabajos de investigación recientes, analizar cuestiones de política actuales e identificar esferas de colaboración futura.
Day 1: Monday, June 24
9:50 – 10:00 am
Welcome and introductory remarks by Robert Koopman, Chief Economist, WTO
10:00 – 10:15 am
Opening remarks by Roberto Azevêdo, Director General, WTO
10:15 – 12:15 pm
Session 1: Trade and Development (Chair: Hui Tong, IMF)
- Quality Upgrading and Export Performance in the Asian Growth Miracle (Chris Papageorgiou, IMF)
Presentation - Are Trade Preferences a Panacea? The African Growth and Opportunity Act and African Exports (Ana Fernandes, WB)
Presentation - Distance, Formal and Informal Institutions in International Trade (Rainer Lanz, WTO)
Presentation - Commodity Exports, Foreign Reserve Accumulation and Corporate Risk-taking (Hui Tong, IMF)
12:15 – 12:45 pm
Lunch Break
12:45 – 2:00 pm
Lunch panel: A level playing field - Trade, subsidies and imbalances (Moderator: Marc Auboin, WTO)
- Martin Kaufman, Assistant Director, Strategy, Policy and Review Department, IMF
- Robert Koopman, Chief Economist and Director, Economic Research and Statistics Division, WTO
- Clarisse Morgan Director, Rules Division, WTO
- Julia Nielson, Deputy Director, Trade and Agriculture Directorate, OECD
2:00 – 4:00 pm
Session 2: Trade Agreements (Chair: Marc Bacchetta, WTO)
- On the Effects of GATT/WTO Membership on Trade: They are Positive and Large After All (Jose-Antonio Monteiro, WTO)
Presentation - Negative Trade Diversion: A firm level analysis of non-member benefits of deep trade agreements (Woori Lee, WB)
Presentation - How WTO Commitments Tame Uncertainty (Adam Jakubik, WTO)
Presentation - Gains from Trade and Heterogeneous Trade Elasticities: Assessing the Short-Term Impact of Brexit on the United Kingdom’s Export of Goods (Hiau-Looi Kee, WB)
4:00 – 4:15 pm
Coffee Break
4:15 – 5:15 pm
Session 3: Egg-timer presentations (Chair: Stela Rubínová, WTO)
- Structural change in the Chinese economy and changing trade relations with the world (Eddy Bekkers, WTO)
Presentation - The Price of Capital Goods: A Driver of Investment Under Threat (Natalija Novta, IMF)
Presentation - Trade Wars and Trade Talks: Estimated Effects using a Multi-Sector Model (Rui Mano, IMF)
5:15 – 6:15 pm
Keynote lecture on Financial Constraints and Propagation of Shocks in Production Networks by Beata Javorcik, Professor of Economics, University of Oxford (Chair: Ana Fernandes, WB)
6:30 pm
Dinner
Day 2: Tuesday, June 25
9:00 – 10:30 am
Session 4: Export dynamics (Chair: Robert Teh, WTO)
- Import Uncertainty and Export Dynamics (Martha Tesfaye Woldemichael, IMF)
Presentation - Indirect Exporter Dynamics and the Impact on Trade Liberalization (Parisa Kamali, IMF)
Presentation - The Inflexible Structure of Global Supply Chains (Diego Cerdeiro, IMF)
10:30 – 10:45 am
Coffee Break
10:45 – 12:45 pm
Session 5: Trade and Inequality (Chair: Roberta Piermartini, WTO)
- Trading of the Income Gains and the Inequality Costs of Trade Policy (Bob Rijkers, WB)
Presentation - Revisiting the drivers of US labor market polarization (Stela Rubínová, WTO)
Presentation - Robots, Tasks, and Trade (Paulo Bastos, WB)
Presentation - The Impact of Service Sector Liberalization on Education: Evidence from India (Enrico Nano, WTO)
Presentation
12:45 – 1:25 pm
Special session: Modelling trade wars by Marika Santoro, IMF (Chair: Eddy Bekkers, WTO)
1:25 – 1:30 pm
Concluding remarks by the organizers
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