RECHERCHE ET ANALYSE: DOCUMENTS DE TRAVAIL

A New Look at the Extensive Trade Margin Effects of Trade Facilitation

We estimate the effects of trade facilitation on the extensive margins of trade. Using OECD Trade Facilitation Indicators — which closely reflect the Trade Facilitation Agreement negotiated at the Bali WTO Ministerial Conference of December 2013 — we show that trade facilitation in a given exporting country is positively correlated with the number of products exported by destination and with the number of export destinations served by product.

To address the issue of causality, we employ an identification strategy whereby only exports of new products, or exports to new destinations, are taken into account when computing the respective margins of trade. Our findings therefore imply a positive causal impact of trade facilitation on the extensive margins of trade. The results are, to a large extent, robust to alternative definitions of extensive margins, to different sets of controls variables and to various estimation methods. Simulating the effect of an increase to the regional or global median values of trade facilitation, we are able to quantify the potential extensive margin gains of trade facilitation reform in different regions.

 

No: ERSD-2014-16

Auteurs: Cosimo Beverelli and Robert Teh — Economic Research Division, World Trade Organization; Simon Neumueller — Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies

Date de rédaction: octobre 2014

Mots clés:

Trade facilitation, Export diversi cation, International trade agreements, WTO

Cotes JEL:

F13, F14, F17

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Avertissement 

Ce document est un document de travail et concerne donc des recherches en cours. Les opinions qui y sont exprimées sont celles de ses auteurs. Elles ne sont pas censées représenter la position ou les opinions de l’OMC ou de ses Membres et sont sans préjudice des droits et obligations des Membres dans le cadre de l'Organisation. Les auteurs sont seuls responsables en cas d’erreur.

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